INDIAN MARKET: PUSHED IN, PULLED
OFF
India
is fast becoming the destination for investment preference and emerging as one
of the best performing economies in the world. According to the Ernst and Young
report 2016, “India is ranked 3rd in investment destinations globally.”
Another Morgan Stanley report quotes, “by digitization India GDP to hit $ 6
trillion &it will achieve the status of upper middle class by 2027.” In the
previous three years, there has been an inflow of $65.35 billion into the
Indian market. These FPI’s had invested $42.66 billion in debt markets and $22.69
billion in equity markets. During 2016-17 FPIs have purchased stocks worth Rs.56123
crore and, FIIs a stock worth of $26.9 billion in which $6.6 billion is in
equity and $20.3 billion is in debt market. Domestic investors in India have
started to invest heavily in mutual funds because people lost their interest in
pouring their money into real estate sector.
India
is a large and potential market with a high growth and low political risk. This
is exactly what many MNCs and investors look at. India provides favorable
conditions for doing business with flexible FDI regulations, comparatively low inflation
rate, introduction of bankruptcy laws, GST, rising skilled labour, increase in
per capita income among other benefits. In 2016 there was an inflow of $ 46
billion FDI in to the market. After the implementation of GST and Bankruptcy
law, FDI has risen up to 18% in which the Manufacturing sector has a major
share followed by Renewable Energy. Within the next eight to 10 years, India
has the potential to receive FDI three
Indian
economic activity is underestimated because of the huge unaccounted trade that
occurs in the informal sector. For example, milk production and its subsequent
selling to households in rural areas involve cash transactions in large amount but
no apparent trade. In other words, there is both production and consumption happening
in the informal sector but not trade. Many economic activities in India thus go
undetected which leads to low GDP growth. (Goswami, 2017)
Due
to the introduction of GST and Demonetization, Indian economy saw disruption in
the past year. India still struggles to become an export-driven market like
other emerging markets (South Korea, Indonesia, Taiwan etc.). The Modi government have initiated conversion of the
unorganized sector into formal economy where it contributes nearly 50% of GDP,
cracking down the identified 13000 shell companies and started providing
investor friendly initiatives to increase positive sentiment. Let’s hope the
government to increase formal economy and bringing down the corruption in
corporate and increase transparency in governance.
CHINNA
VENKAT REDDY
PGDM
Student
Christ Institute of Management,
Lavasa
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